2 minute read
Weekly Cash Commentary
6 minute read
The U.S. economy is slowing and inflation declining, but when will the Fed cut rates?
8 minute read
Headline payroll strength hides weaker details.
4 minute read
A gathering of professionals acknowledged five decades of money funds and sifted through issues in their future.
5 minute read
The presidential debate may be the only one in the election cycle.
Filling up at the pump matters to voters.
7 minute read
Despite dovish inflation data, Fed issues hawkish dots.
Weekkly Cash Commentary
Nonfarm payroll strength belies weakness in other areas.
1 minute read
With the Fed on hold and tax collection over, assets resume flowing into liquidity products.
Fed likely to take the summer off.
Baby bust fuels need for immigration and Social Security reform.
Stocks soar as CPI eases despite declining retail sales and confidence.
3 minute read
The U.S. Treasury’s plan to buy back some of its securities should have many benefits.
Other inflation metrics remain sticky and persistent.
Does today’s soft jobs report successfully change the Fed's narrative?
The Fed's game plan hasn't changed, but defeating inflation will take longer than it expected.
Cooling GDP and accelerating inflation problematic for the Fed.
With yields rising and P/Es contracting, we need good first-quarter earnings.
Re-accelerating inflation and strong labor market delay Fed cuts.
Much stronger-than-expected jobs report keeps Fed rate cuts on hold.
The Fed is not feeling pressure to cut rates.
With solid growth, sticky inflation and surging stocks, the Fed is in no hurry to cut rates.
Is the equity market rally inconsistent with Fed policy?
The Fed's dot plot held the intrigue at the FOMC meeting.
Biden left more questions than answers about his economic policies in his SOTU address.
Strong headline gains but weak data underneath.
Magnificent Seven continue to outperform.
Strong reports have swayed expectations for rate cuts rather than the Fed's constant blaring.
Strong wage growth keeps Fed cuts off the bases.
Dismal retail sales in January cap a weak holiday spending season.
Stocks strong start portends a volatile but positive year.
Strong headline gains but a mixed picture beneath the surface.
The Fed removed its tightening bias, opening the door to rate cuts.
Should keep the Fed on the sidelines in March.
Labor market and consumer spending firm, while inflation rises.
Zero for two out of the gate.
Strong job gains and rising wages keep Fed rate cuts on hold.
Three things to watch in 2024.
Inflation grinds lower, the Fed throws in the towel and holiday spending slows.
The Fed now projects rate cuts in 2024, just not as many as the markets have.
Fed rate cuts not coming anytime soon.
As the economy slows across the board, the Fed is done hiking rates.
The markets have swung too far by forecasting multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024.
Thanksgiving brings increased travel, falling prices and rallying financial markets.
Despite Biden’s terrible polling, Democrats performed well in off-year elections, which should worry the GOP.
Financial markets rally on perceived Fed pause.
The Fed wants more time and data as it looks to December's meeting.
Will it keep the Fed in play?
Back-to-School sales were soft, but consumers are spending elsewhere.
Employment, inflation and bonds combine for twists and turns for the journey of Fed policy.
Disruptions minor so far amid a global outlook that's a bit meh.